Neurogastroenterology & Motility

Aims To develop the Bowel Irrigation Questionnaire (BIQ), a patient-reported experience measure (PREM) designed to assess the user experience of transanal irrigation (TAI). Methods Statements were generated through literature review and qualitative interviews with healthcare professionals (HCPs) and product users. Statements were rated on a 6-point content validity index scale through an international three-round online Delphi survey by 20 expert panel members. Consensus attainment was defined based on percentage agreement, statements which did not meet consensus were discussed at a final international online consensus meeting. The content validity of the PREM was evaluated through cognitive interviews and the Questionnaire on Questionnaires (QQ-10). Reliability was assessed using a test-retest design, where users completed the BIQ on two occasions one week apart. Results 215 statements were generated from 9 multi-disciplinary qualitative interviews and literature review. Statements were refined to reduce repetition and ensure clarity. 73 statements grouped into 11 domains were reviewed through the Delphi survey. Following the Delphi survey and clinical consensus meeting, the preliminary BIQ consisted of 15 items. Six cognitive interviews were conducted, resulting in a finalised BIQ of 16 items. 32 product users completed both the QQ-10 and test-retest study, the results of which demonstrated good content validity and temporal stability respectively. Conclusions The Bowel Irrigation Questionnaire is a novel PREM designed to assess the user experience of TAI in both clinical and research settings. The instrument demonstrates good validity, acceptability and temporal stability, supporting its use as a reliable measure of patient experience.

Importance Sleep-disordered breathing (SDB) is common in childhood and is associated with attentional and behavioral impairments despite largely preserved sleep macrostructure and minimal abnormalities in conventional electroencephalographic measures. This discrepancy has contributed to the perception that sleep is relatively preserved in pediatric SDB and has limited understanding of the physiological mechanisms underlying morbidity. Objective To determine whether pediatric SDB is associated with disruption of the regional organization and homeostatic dynamics of slow-wave activity (SWA), a key physiological marker of sleep-dependent neural recovery and development. Design, Setting, and Participants Cross-sectional study of 62 children aged 4 to 12 years who underwent overnight polysomnography with high-density electroencephalography in a laboratory setting. Participants were recruited from clinical referrals and the community, spanning the full spectrum of SDB severity. Exposures SDB severity indexed by hypopnea index (HI), apnea-hypopnea index (AHI), and obstructive apnea index (OAI). Main Outcomes and Measures Regional electroencephalogram-derived SWA (0.5 to 4 Hz) topography and exponential decay parameters derived from frontal and posterior cortical regions. The frontal-to-posterior decay-rate ratio was evaluated as a summary measure of regional sleep homeostasis. Results In children with lower hypopnea index, SWA demonstrated the expected developmental pattern, with posterior predominance in younger children and a progressive shift toward a more balanced anterior-posterior distribution with age. Increasing HI was associated with attenuation or reversal of this spatial organization. Global SWA showed no meaningful association with SDB severity. In contrast, regional frontal and posterior decay parameters were strongly associated with HI (adjusted R2 = 0.53; p < 1e-6) but not OAI (adjusted R2 = 0.05; p = .95). The frontal-to-posterior decay-rate ratio showed the strongest association with HI {beta} = 4.15; 95% CI, 3.17-5.13; p < 1e-10; adjusted R2 = 0.55. Conclusions and Relevance Pediatric SDB was associated with regional disruption of slow-wave sleep homeostasis rather than global loss of deep sleep. These alterations affected both the spatial organization and temporal dynamics of SWA during a period of active cortical maturation and were not captured by conventional sleep metrics. Regional SWA dynamics may provide a developmentally sensitive marker of physiological disease burden in children with SDB.

Background: KRAS mutation status is an important biomarker in rectal cancer, with implications for prognosis and treatment response. MRI-based radiomics has emerged as a non-invasive approach for predicting tumor genotypes. However, the diagnostic performance of MRI radiomics for predicting KRAS mutation status remains unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of MRI radiomics for predicting KRAS mutations in rectal cancer. Methods: A systematic search of PubMed, Cochrane Library, Scopus, and Web of Science was performed through July 2025. Diagnostic test accuracy studies evaluating MRI-based radiomics or artificial intelligence models for predicting KRAS mutation status in adult patients with rectal cancer were included, using molecular testing as the reference standard. Risk of bias was assessed using the QUADAS-2 tool. Pooled sensitivity and specificity were estimated using a bivariate random-effects model. Results: Seven studies involving 1,224 patients were included. The pooled sensitivity was 0.736 (95% CI: 0.697-0.772) and the pooled specificity was 0.645 (95% CI: 0.586-0.701). The false positive rate was 0.355 (95% CI: 0.299-0.414). The area under the hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.754, with a normalized partial AUC of 0.666. Between-study heterogeneity ranged from low to moderate depending on the estimation method (I2 = 8.4%-53.3%). Conclusion: MRI radiomics demonstrates moderate diagnostic accuracy for predicting KRAS mutation status in rectal cancer and may serve as a promising non-invasive biomarker for preoperative molecular stratification. Further large-scale studies with external validation are required to confirm its clinical utility.

Background: Early detection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is critical. While faecal elastase-1 (FE-1) is a standard clinical marker for pancreatic function, its diagnostic accuracy for malignancy is limited. We sought to identify plasma metabolites that enhance FE-1 performance in symptomatic "at-risk" patients. Methods: Using the DEPEND cohort (CRUK C45617/A29908), plasma metabolomics was performed on patients with resectable PDAC (n=23) and healthy volunteers (n=24). Predictive modelling included feature selection and cross-validation, with further validation in an independent external cohort. Results: Citrulline was identified as significantly depleted in PDAC patients across discovery and validation cohorts. In isolation, Citrulline achieved an AUC of 0.86 (internal) and 0.88 (external validation). Standalone FE-1 demonstrated an AUC of 0.67. However, combining Citrulline and FE-1 significantly improved diagnostic performance, achieving a combined AUC of 0.96. Stratification revealed distinct metabolomic signatures associated with poorly differentiated tumours, suggesting a link to histological grade. Conclusions: Integrating Citrulline with FE-1 testing substantially improves PDAC detection in symptomatic patients. This non-invasive panel offers high diagnostic potential, though prospective validation is required to establish clinical cut-offs for routine practice.

Background: Female chronic pelvic pain disorders (CPPDs) are highly prevalent and frequently accompanied by sleep disturbance and autonomic nervous system (ANS) dysregulation. Heart rate variability (HRV), a non-invasive index of ANS function, may provide an objective, physiological correlate of sleep health and can be monitored using wearable devices, enabling a continuous, scalable approach. Objectives: This study examined whether wearable-derived daily HRV metrics are associated with self-reported sleep disturbance in women with CPPD(s) compared with healthy controls, using epoch-level data and generalized additive models. Methods: We conducted a retrospective observational study using up to 90 days of data from a mobile health research app. Participants were 128 women with CPPD(s) and 63 demographically matched healthy controls, who completed a daily PROMIS-based 3-item sleep disturbance questionnaire and wore Fitbit devices that provided 5-minute HRV epochs. Primary predictors were high frequency (HF) and low frequency (LF) power and root mean square of successive differences (RMSSD), with group (CPPD vs control), daily pain severity, and menstrual status as covariates. We fit separate generalized additive mixed models (GAMMs) for each HRV metric with a nonlinear smooth term and an HRV x Group interaction. Results: Higher HF and RMSSD were associated with lower sleep disturbance scores, and these associations were stronger in controls than in the CPPD group (HF x group B {approx} -1.59, p < 0.00010; RMSSD x group B {approx} -0.58, p < 0.0001). LF showed a more complex pattern but also differed by group (B {approx} -0.531, p < 0.0001). HRV smooth terms were highly nonlinear, and models explained ~8-9% of deviance in sleep disturbances. Pain severity and menstrual bleeding were strongly associated with worse sleep. Conclusion: These findings indicate small but consistent associations between wearable-derived HRV metrics and daily sleep disturbances in women with CPPD(s) and healthy controls, with weaker associations in CPPD(s). Integrating continuous HRV with symptom tracking could support low-burden and multimodal monitoring of sleep health in chronic pelvic pain, but prospective validation is needed before HRV can be used for diagnostic or treatment response decision making.

Autonomic dysfunction is a common sequela of mild traumatic brain injury (mTBI). Physical activity progression is an integral component of mTBI rehabilitation, particularly in addressing autonomic dysfunction. However, clinicians often rely on point-in-time evaluation of orthostatic and exercise intolerance to guide activity recommendations. Commercially available wearable devices (e.g., Fitbits) provide an opportunity to evaluate heart rate response to activity in a real-world setting. Previous work has used physiologic (heart rate) and activity (step count) data to identify subgroups of adults with stroke that may be used to guide activity recommendations. This method may be useful to subgroup youth post-mTBI to identify those who have abnormal physiologic responses to activity. We aimed to identify subgroups using heart rate and step count data in adolescents presenting for specialty care after diagnosed mTBI. Eighty participants aged 13-18 within six months of mTBI diagnosis were recruited to wear a Fitbit Sense 2. Data from seven days and two nights collected within fourteen days of enrollment were included. A group-based steps per minute (SPM) threshold (25th percentile; 10 SPM) and individualized heart rate threshold (20% heart rate reserve (HRR)) were used to classify each minute of active daytime data into one of four quadrants: SPM>10 & HRR>20% (QI), SPM<10 & HRR>20% (QII), SPM<10 & HRR<20% (QIII), and SPM>10 & HRR<20% (QIV). We used percentage of minutes in each quadrant, mean steps per day, percentage of minutes with zero steps, mean SPM in QI, and resting heart rate in a k-means clustering algorithm to identify subgroups. We evaluated subgroup differences by clustering variables using Kruskal-Wallis tests. Sixty-one participants were included. Three subgroups emerged: Sedentary (n=12), Active (n=23), and Atypically Elevated Heart Rate (AEHR; n=26). Subgroups varied significantly on all clustering variables (p<0.01). The Active subgroup took a high number of steps per day, had lower sedentary time, and had the highest activity intensity (mean SPM in QI). The Sedentary subgroup took fewer steps per day compared to the Active subgroup, had high sedentary time, and showed the highest resting heart rate. The AEHR subgroup took fewer steps per day compared to the Active subgroup and had high sedentary time. The AEHR subgroup also spent a higher percentage of time with an atypically high heart rate response to low levels of activity compared to the other subgroups. Our findings suggest that data from wearable devices can identify subgroups of adolescents with mTBI with distinct physiologic/physical activity profiles, which may ultimately be used to inform personalized activity prescriptions. Future work should aim to understand how the identified subgroups relate to longitudinal outcomes.

Objective: There is a bidirectional relationship between emotional distress and pain. However, this relationship is understudied in people with HIV in low-resource settings. This study sought to describe the temporal relationship between emotional distress and pain in people with HIV. Design: Longitudinal observational study. Methods: Participants with virally suppressed HIV, reporting either no pain or persistent pain at baseline, provided weekly remote ratings of distress, worst pain, and average pain using 0-10 visual analogue scales. Within-individual fluctuations in distress and pain were visualised over time. Group-level correlations were determined using Spearman's correlation tests. Cumulative link mixed models assessed whether distress and pain each predicted the other in the following week. Results: 72 participants provided responses over 49 weeks. The participants had a median (IQR) age of 43 (37-51) years, 63% (n=45) were unemployed and most were females (n=51;71%). Distress and pain fluctuated concurrently within individuals: distress was positively correlated with worst pain ({rho}=0.66, 95% CI= 0.60-0.72, p<0.001) and average pain ({rho}=0.70, 95% CI=0.64-0.75, p<0.001) intensity within the same week. Worst pain (OR=1.42, 95% CI=1.17-1.71, p<0.001) and average pain (OR=1.43, 95% CI=1.20-1.71, p<0.001) intensity both predicted distress in the next week. Distress predicted worst pain intensity (OR=1.25, 95% CI=1.07-1.46, p=0.023) but not average pain intensity (OR=1.19, 95% CI=1.01-1.40, p=0.152) in the next week. Conclusions: The temporal relationship between distress and worst pain intensity was bidirectional, whereas distress did not temporally predict average pain intensity. Both pain and emotional distress should receive attention from HIV research and clinical care in low-resource settings.

Background The 2022-2023 global mpox outbreak highlighted the critical need for robust genomic surveillance capabilities to track mpox virus (MPXV) evolution and transmission dynamics. Methods Building upon our established SARS-CoV-2 sequencing infrastructure, we implemented a Molecular Loop probe-based long-read sequencing approach using Pacific Biosciences Sequel II technology for comprehensive MPXV genomic surveillance across the United States (US). From August 2024 to June 2025, we generated 326 high-quality whole genome sequences from residual mpox-positive clinical specimens collected by Labcorp across all 10 US Department of Health and Human Services regions. Results Our analysis identified two samples containing clade Ib MPXV in January and June 2025 and captured shifting trends in clade IIb diversity, with 13 distinct lineages observed. We also identified multiple instances of large (~1.6-17.6kb) deletions proximal to the inverted terminal repeats in clade IIb genomes. APOBEC3 mutation analysis indicated substantial evidence of human-to-human transmission among both clades. Further, we observed significantly higher APOBEC3-associated SNPs per kilobase (P<0.001) in clade IIb genomic variable regions relative to their central conserved region. Our assay exhibited strong reproducibility across biological replicates from individual patients and accuracy was confirmed via parallel sequencing of select specimens by US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) using metagenomic sequencing. We also demonstrated via custom simulation that our assay discriminates all known MPXV clades and lineages, including those we have not observed in the US. Conclusions Our integrated nationwide surveillance system facilitates real-time genomic tracking of outbreak evolution, with demonstrated capacity across SARS-CoV-2 and MPXV, positioning this platform for rapid deployment during future pathogen emergence.

Patients and caregivers seek informational and emotional support throughout medical care, especially when interpreting unfamiliar laboratory test results. Although resources such as patient portals and online health communities (OHCs) help address questions, gaps remain. The emergence of large language models (LLMs) offers the potential to be a complementary source of support to assist patients and caregivers in understanding and using their test results. The objective of our study is to empirically compare LLM responses to patients online questions containing their laboratory test results to responses written by peers in an OHC. We compared the 519 peer replies to 122 laboratory test-related posts from an OHC to 488 responses generated from four LLMs using mixed computational and qualitative methods. LLMs frequently provided clear explanations of medical terminology and structured interpretations of numeric results but were longer and less readable. Peers offered more personalized, context-specific emotional support. Overall, LLMs have the potential to complement peer responses in OHCs, but require greater emotional depth, reasoning transparency, and alignment with community norms.

Lithium has been the gold standard for the treatment and prevention of relapse in bipolar disorder for over 60 years. Guidance from the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence states explicitly to 'offer lithium as a first-line, long-term pharmacological treatment for bipolar disorder'. Yet, in the last two decades its use has been in decline with clinicians favouring anticonvulsants or antipsychotics when treating this condition. In this study, we have used three openly available datasets containing prescribing data from primary and secondary care to explore trends in the use of lithium in England, showing both regional and temporal variance between 2015-2024. We have shown that lithium use declined in primary care by 20.9% in the last ten years (2015-2024) and 10.9% overall in the last five years (2019 to 2025). We have also shown how there is some regional variation in the source of lithium for patients, although the vast majority is prescribed in primary care. Further research into clinical behaviour is needed to understand what is driving the decrease in lithium usage, and what barriers and enablers may influence its use across the country.

We present FootNet, a 453-image multi-view smartphone foot dataset for binary foot segmentation, with expertannotated masks across six anatomical views (dorsal, medial, and plantar, both left and right). We benchmark four segmentation models under a controlled protocol: U-Net with a MobileNetV2 encoder achieves the best performance (IoU 0.9268, Dice 0.9608, 95 % CI [0.9209, 0.9320]); DeepLabV3 with MobileNetV3-Large scores IoU 0.8984 (Dice 0.9449); UNet++ with MobileNetV2 scores IoU 0.8913 (Dice 0.9391); and SAM ViT-B with oracle boundingbox prompt scores IoU 0.9219 on the matched 191-image subset. Bonferroni-corrected Wilcoxon signed-rank tests (k = 6 comparisons) show U-Net significantly outperforms DeepLab (p < 0.001, r = 0.638) and SAM ViT-B with oracle boundingbox (p = 0.005, r = 0.202); UNet++ does not significantly differ from DeepLab (p = 0.062). Connected-component postprocessing yields negligible benefit (mean {triangleup}IoU = +0.0003, 12 of 453 images improved). The extended dataset is available upon request

Purpose: Nonresponse to routinely collected patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) threatens the representativeness of aggregated data. We characterized patient-, provider-, and clinic-level factors associated with PROMIS Global-10 nonresponse in routine radiation oncology care. Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, all adults seen at five Mass General Brigham radiation oncology clinics over one year were included. The primary outcome was patient-level nonresponse, defined as never completing the portal-administered Global-10 versus completing it at least once. Using iterative mixed-effects logistic regression, we modeled patient-, provider-, and clinic-level factors. Results: Among 12,214 patients, 71 providers, and five clinics, patient- and appointment-level response rates were 35.4% and 10.9%, with patient-level response ranging nearly fivefold across clinics (12.8% to 66.2%). In Model 1, male sex, lower education, not working, and recent surgery had higher odds of nonresponse, and longer time since diagnosis lower odds. After provider- and clinic-level factors were added, patient sex, education, and employment became nonsignificant, whereas recent surgery (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.97) and longer time since diagnosis (aOR 0.46 for >12 months) persisted. A provider's historical collection rate was protective but attenuated at the clinic level. There, a later program launch (aOR 0.29) and higher historical collection rate (aOR 0.79) correlated with lower nonresponse, whereas academic versus community setting did not. Conclusions: Nonresponse to routinely collected PROMs is a multilevel phenomenon driven substantially by clinic-level implementation factors, not patient characteristics alone. Because response rate is only a proxy for representativeness, PROMs programs and PRO-based performance measures should prioritize representative collection over volume.

Controlled human infection models (CHIMs) are increasingly used in infectious disease research to study pathogen dynamics and evaluate interventions under controlled conditions. However, these studies are resource-intensive and involve ethical and safety constraints, making efficient study design critical. Dose-finding is a key early component in CHIMs, where the aim is to identify a challenge dose that achieves a target infection probability. Traditional rule-based designs are commonly used but can be inefficient, motivating the use of model-based adaptive approaches such as the Bayesian Continual Reassessment Method (CRM). Although CRM has been extensively studied and widely adopted in Phase I oncology trials for identifying the maximum tolerated dose of therapeutics, its application in CHIM settings remains limited, particularly when the endpoint of interest is infection. This tutorial provides step-by-step guidance for implementing a Bayesian CRM in dose-finding CHIMs, using an oropharyngeal Neisseria gonorrhoeae challenge as a motivating case study. The framework outlines key design components, including dose-grid specification, dose-response model, prior elicitation, Bayesian updating, decision rules, and stopping criteria, with particular emphasis on a clinically interpretable parameterisation. Trial operating characteristics are evaluated through simulation studies under multiple dose-response scenarios and prior-predictive analyses, and compared with a commonly used '3+3' type rule-based design. This work highlights the advantages of Bayesian model-based designs for dose-finding in CHIMs over classic rule-based designs and provides a structured, reproducible framework for implementing CRM, supporting their application in future CHIM studies.

Background and Aims The optimal treatment for first episodes and first recurrences of Clostridioides difficile infections (CDI) is unknown and there is emerging evidence for pulse and taper (P-T) regimens. Therefore, we sought to estimate the relative efficacy of treatment options. Methods MEDLINE and CENTRAL were searched from database inception to May 21, 2025 and unpublished conference abstracts were searched from recent infectious disease conferences. RCTs on the treatment of first episodes or first recurrences of CDI comparing fixed-dose or P-T regimens of fidaxomicin or vancomycin were included. The primary and secondary outcomes were 40- and 56-day CDI recurrence, respectively. A random-effects network meta-analysis on the risk ratio (RR) scale was conducted using a standard regimen (10-14 days) of vancomycin as the comparator. Treatments were ranked using the surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA). Results 8 RCTs were included comprising a total of 2181 patients. For 40-day recurrence, fidaxomicin P-T had the highest probability of ranking best (RR=0.10, 95%Confidence Interval [95%CI]=0.10-0.49, SUCRA=1.00), followed by vancomycin P-T (RR=0.49, 95%CI=0.32-0.76, SUCRA=0.61), fixed-dose fidaxomicin (RR=0.61, 95%CI=0.49-0.76, SUCRA=0.39), and, finally, fixed-dose of vancomycin (SUCRA=0.00). The treatments ranked in the same order for 56-day recurrence, though only 3 RCTs reported on this timepoint. Conclusion Vancomycin P-T, fidaxomicin P-T, and fixed-dose fidaxomicin were all superior to a fixed-dose vancomycin. Head-to-head comparative effectiveness RCTs are needed to quantify their relative effect sizes of and impact on long-term prevention of recurrent CDI.

Background: Monoclonal antibodies have emerged as a prophylactic strategy to prevent symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection in immunocompromised individuals. However, the evolutionary and clinical implications of breakthrough infections under this regime remain unclear. Methods: A male in their 80s with a haematological/oncological diagnosis received a 2000 mg intravenous infusion of sotrovimab in March 2023 and was diagnosed with COVID-19 by RT-qPCR from a nasopharyngeal swab in August 2023. Weekly samples (n=24) were collected through February 2024 (171 days). All samples underwent whole-genome sequencing, with select mutations subjected to functional assessment. Findings: Sequencing identified the GE.1 lineage at all timepoints. An intra-host recombination event in ORF1ab (positions 8942-12458) was detected prior to 23 weeks post-detection, followed by a 14-fold increase in viral load (7.42e+06 to 1.00e+08 RNA copies/mL) and a marked shift in the viral population. E340D, a sotrovimab resistance mutation, was detected at low abundance (46%) within the first week post-infection, fluctuated over time, and was nearly fixed by week 15 (107 days) post-detection. We assessed five spike mutations - V36M, S98F, and V213G in the N-terminal domain, Y505P in the receptor-binding domain, and P681Q near the S1/S2 cleavage site - and additionally evaluated the impact of E340D. V36M conferred the highest infectivity across all cell lines, with the most significant effect in low-TMPRSS2 cells. While all mutations showed enhanced infectivity with the addition of E340D, the effect was most pronounced in mutations with lower baseline infectivity. The addition of E340D significantly decreased relative neutralizing titres for V36M, S98F, and V213G, enabling escape from neutralizing antibodies in XBB-responsive individuals, illustrating an enhanced phenotypic advantage. Patient neutralizing activity was absent pre-sotrovimab, and sotrovimab-induced neutralization was further compromised by selection of E340D. Interpretation: Sotrovimab pre-exposure prophylaxis in an immunocompromised patient did not prevent SARS-CoV-2 infection, and selected for resistant mutation E340D, with unexpected fitness consequences across non-receptor binding domain spike regions.

Background Post-infection conditions (PICs), such as Long Covid, are associated with heterogeneous, fluctuating symptoms that profoundly affect daily functioning. Despite moderate-certainty evidence from the NIHR-funded LISTEN trial (COV-LT2-0009) that personalised self management support improves outcomes and may reduce societal and economic impacts of Long Covid, many people living with PICs still receive condition-specific services, generic advice, or stand-alone digital tools that do not address their complex needs. Aim To map care approaches in general practice and synthesise UK evidence for PIC management. Design and setting Scoping review and online survey. Method A two-phase study was conducted: (1) a scoping review of UK evidence on PIC management in general practice; and (2) a supplementary online survey of practitioners working in UK general practice to provide contextual insights. Results The scoping review identified 32 studies focused on Long Covid. One study included a comparator group (ME/CFS). Study populations were predominantly white ethnicity and female. Evidence for non-Covid PICs in UK general practice was largely absent. The supplementary survey (n=46) provided preliminary practice-level insights. Healthcare practitioners reported varied PIC presentations, diagnostic uncertainty, limited referral pathways, inequitable access, and low confidence in managing PICs. Conclusion Evidence informing PIC management in UK general practice remains predominantly Long Covid-focused and may not reflect the range of PICs encountered in practice. While survey findings are preliminary and require confirmation in larger samples, they highlight uncertainty around PIC management. Further research is needed to evaluate whether existing Long Covid pathways should be expanded or complemented by broader PIC models. Keywords general practice; Long Covid; self-management; post-viral syndromes

Background: Opioid use disorder (OUD) is heritable, yet most genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have focused on European populations, leaving the genetic architecture of OUD in non-European populations underexplored. Methods: We conducted GWAS of OUD across three ancestries using electronic health records and genomic data from 52,357 All of Us Research Program participants (8,912 cases; 43,445 matched opioid-exposed controls; 48.5% female). Participants were stratified into European (EUR), African (AFR), and Admixed American (AMR) ancestry groups for logistic regression GWAS, with independent replication in the Million Veteran Program. We then applied the deep-learning model AlphaGenome to predict the tissue-specific transcriptomic and splicing consequences of top risk variants across 13 reward-pathway brain regions. Results: We identified and replicated a novel DDX6 risk locus, alongside established OPRM1 and FURIN signals. AlphaGenome predicted the DDX6 regulatory allele downregulates the stress-resistance gene FOXR1 in the nucleus accumbens, while the protective OPRM1 variant (rs1799971) upregulates OPRM1 expression across reward networks. Other signals of interest included IL6R and SHISA9 (EUR); GHR (AFR); and ASTN2 (AMR). Conclusions: This study identifies DDX6 as a novel OUD risk locus, replicates associations with OPRM1 and FURIN, and highlights biologically plausible ancestry-specific signals in AFR and AMR populations. We also replicated top variants in an independent population. Finally, integrating GWAS with deep-learning annotations provides specific, localized biological hypotheses to guide future experimental validation and targeted therapeutics.

Background: International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes are often used in epidemiological studies to track disease rates over time. Objective: This evaluation of ICD-code-based algorithms for electronic medical record (EMR) studies of Alzheimers disease (AD) and related dementias (ADRD) examines the impact of incorporating Centers for Medicare and Medicaid (CMS) data as an additional source of diagnostic and treatment information in Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) EMR studies. Methods: We performed a chart review of 100 VA Million Veteran Program (MVP) participants to evaluate algorithm performance. We also assessed genetic associations across algorithms in a large MVP cohort (n=396k). Results: Adding CMS data increased the number of detected cases, sensitivity, and positive predictive value, but decreased specificity and negative predictive value. Genetic analyses showed that broader (ADRD/dementia) algorithms with just VA data performed similarly to narrow (AD-focused) algorithms incorporating both VA and CMS ICD codes. Additionally, narrow AD algorithms based solely on VA data yielded the highest ORs, indicating the largest proportion of late-onset AD cases. Conclusions: We recommend using a broad (ADRD) algorithm without CMS or medication data, particularly for epidemiological studies or a strict AD algorithm including CMS and medication cases for genetic discovery of late-onset AD associations in VA EMR, and a strict AD algorithm without CMS data for applications focused solely on AD and sensitive to misspecification. Careful evaluation of algorithm performance is warranted in different EMR systems, as ICD coding practices vary by institution, as demonstrated by this comparison of VA EMR and CMS data.

Stochastic epidemic models are a cornerstone of infectious disease epidemiology and are often used to study intervention scenarios. However, large run-to-run variability can make intervention effects difficult to estimate precisely. We revisit the epidemic Sellke construction, which assigns each individual an infection threshold for the cumulative infection hazard such that, conditional on the thresholds, the epidemic trajectory becomes deterministic. This enables coupling of simulations with and without an intervention, yielding low-variance effect estimates even when outcomes such as final size or peak incidence vary widely between runs. We develop an exact, event-driven implementation that maintains infection and recovery events in priority queues. Cumulative infection-hazard updates require O(log N) time per event, yielding overall complexity O(Elog N) for E events in a population of size N. The implementation achieves computational performance comparable to the classical Gillespie algorithm while naturally accommodating non-Markovian infectious periods and complex infectiousness profiles. We illustrate the approach using distance-dependent spread of avian influenza between poultry farms in the Netherlands and a multilayer population with households, schools, and workplaces. In both examples, coupling enables efficient within-run comparisons of intervention scenarios across stochastic realisations.

Estimating dengue force of infection (FOI) is essential for understanding transmission dynamics and targeting intervention programmes, yet surveillance data in endemic settings required for estimations are often incomplete, with varying formats. We developed a Bayesian hierarchical catalytic model that jointly fits age-stratified case data, aggregate case data, and seroprevalence surveys within a single framework, incorporating external covariates to improve parameter identifiability. Synthetic validation showed that covariates alone recovered accurate FOI point estimates even when most districts contributed only aggregate data, but did so with poorly calibrated uncertainty; anchoring the model with a single seroprevalence survey was necessary to bring credible interval coverage close to nominal. Applied to 128 districts across Java and Bali, Indonesia (2016-2024), the model revealed substantial spatial heterogeneity in FOI and reporting rates. Many districts in Java exceeded the WHO-suggested seroprevalence threshold for vaccine introduction, yet were classified as low-priority when using reported incidence as prioritisation criterion, particularly in areas with weak surveillance. Model-based seroprevalence estimation, integrating multiple data sources, offers a more consistent basis for identifying high-priority districts for vaccine introduction, and is less susceptible to surveillance bias than reported incidence.